Saturday, April 20, 2024

Weekly Report --- April 20, 2024

 

 

 

     Hammersmith Reports

 

3 Avenue Marie Gasquet, St Remy de Provence, 13210 France

Phone: +33.6.8068.4564   

Email:   wbacon@hammersmith.biz   

WWW:  hammersmithltd.blogspot.com    

 

WEEKLY USA GRAIN AND PROTEIN REPORT April 20, 2024

 

Grain and oilseed prices had a run higher on Friday but still didn’t show a great deal of change overall compared to last week. Corn prices were up a dollar or two a m/t for the week while soybeans were down by about USD 3 and soymeal was up by about USD 6 m/t.

 

US spring wheat moved higher by USD 3 to 5 m/t while US winter wheat was about unchanged on the week.

 

The stronger day for prices on Friday was all tied to the Middle East problems according to trade reports. Also, both corn and soybeans were helped higher by the US government’s decision on allowing E15 blending in gasoline in the June September period when it is normally not allowed. The government says that the decision is “in the public interest”.

 

Soybeans are in the between trends period according to trade reports with the large South American crops being bearish while the higher USA soybean crush is bullish.

 

USA spring wheat prices were higher based on continued dry weather in the wheat belt. However, winter wheat prices did slip a little on poor export sales numbers. So far, the mid-west lack of rainfall has not done much to move US winter wheat prices higher --- everyone just seems to be watching the poor demand numbers.

 

 

Estimated Bulk Grain Freight in USD per m/t, basis heavy grains.

 

US Gulf to Europe: Panamax

$27.00

Up $1.00

X

US Gulf to Spain: Panamax m/t

$27.00

Up $1.00

X

US Gulf Israel: Panamax m/t

$25.00

Up $1.00

X

US Gulf to Egypt: Panamax

$25.00

Up $1.00

X

US Gulf Turkey: Panamax m/t

$26.00

Up $1.00

X

US Gulf Morocco: Handi

$39.00

Steady

X

US Gulf Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$40.00

Steady

X

US Gulf Nigeria: 30,000 m/t

$36.00

Steady

X

US Gulf other Med: Handi

$41.00

Steady

X

US Gulf South Africa: Handi

$41.00

Steady

X

US Gulf India : Panamax

$51.00

Steady

X

US Gulf to Philippines: Panamax

$52.00

Steady

X

US Gulf Japan: Panamax

$54.00

Up $2.00

X

US Gulf China: Panamax

$53.00

Up $2.00

X

US PNW Egypt: Panamax via Panama

$48.00

Up $1.00

X

US PNW South Africa – 40,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

X

US PNW Philippines: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

X

US PNW Japan: Panamax

$28.00

Up $2.00

X

US PNW China: Panamax

$27.00

Up $2.00

x

US East Coast Nigeria: Handisize

$45.00

Steady

X

US Lakes – Europe – 30,000 m/t

$52.00

Up $1.00

X

US Lakes – Morocco – 30,000 m/t

$58.00

Up $1.00

X

 

 

 

 

France/Germany to Algeria: Handi

$32.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to China: Panamax

$72.00

Down $1.00

 

France/Germany to Egypt: Panamax

$34.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Iran: Panamax

$42.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Jordan

$42.00

Up $2.00

 

France/Germany to Morocco: Handi

$31.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$65.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Turkey: Handi

$35.00

Steady

 

France/Germany to Yemen: Handi

$66.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Argentina to Algeria: Handi

$62.00

Steady

 

Argentina to China: Panamax

$54.00

Up $3.00

 

Argentina to Japan: Panamax

$55.00

Up $3.00

 

Argentina to Egypt: Panamax

$53.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Europe: Panamax

$26.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Morocco: Handi

$61.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Libya: Handi

$62.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Jordan: Panamax

$55.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Saudi Arabia: Panamax

$63.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Indonesia: Panamax

$58.00

Steady

 

Argentina to South Africa: Panamax

$35.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Kenya: Handi

$57.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Spain: Panamax

$26.00

Steady

 

Argentina to Tunisia: Handi

$62.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Brazil to Algeria/Tunisia: Handi

$50.00

Steady

 

Brazil to China: Panamax

$49.00

Up $1.00

 

Brazil to Japan: Panamax

$50.00

Up $1.00

 

Brazil to South Korea: Panamax

$48.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Europe: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Morocco: Handi

$49.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Iran: Panamax

$61.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Saudi Arabia 30/40,000 m/t

$64.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Spain: Panamax

$39.00

Steady

 

Brazil to Turkey/Egypt: Panamax

$59.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

Australia to Saudi: Panamax

$58.00

Up $1.00

 

Australia to Europe: Panamax

$67.00

Up $1.00

 

 

 

 

 

South Africa to Italy -- Handisize

$46.00

Steady

 

South Africa to Turkey – Handisize

$47.00

Steady

 

South Africa to Japan – Handisize

$42.00

Up $1.00

 

South Africa to China -- Handisize

$43.00

Up $1.00

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea freight

 

 

 

 

Black Sea to China: Panamax

$65 Russia

Ukraine $61

 

Black Sea to Indonesia: Panamax

$59 Russia

Ukraine $77

 

Black Sea to Egypt: 40/50,000

$21 Russia

Ukraine $30

 

Black Sea to Egypt: 30,000

$23 Russia

Ukraine $28

 

Black Sea to Iran: Panamax

$58 Russia

Ukraine $61

 

Black Sea to Europe: Panamax

$27 Russia

Ukraine $35

 

Black Sea to Morocco – Handi

$32 Russia

Ukraine $41

 

Black Sea to Tunisia/Algeria – Handi

$31 Russia

Ukraine $40

 

Black Sea to Jordan: Panamax

$37 Russia

Ukraine $52

 

Black Sea to Libya – Handi

$32 Russia

Ukraine $41

 

Black Sea to Saudi: Panamax

$50 Russia

Ukraine $70

 

Black Sea to Turkey – Handi

$21 Russia

Ukraine $26

 

 

 

 

 

Black Sea to South Africa – Handi

$55.00

Down $2.00

 

 

 

 

 

Russia to Turkey (Izmir)– coaster 5,000 m/t

$40.00

Steady

 

Russia to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$66.00

Steady

 

Ukraine to Turkey – coaster 5,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

 

Ukraine to Egypt – coaster 5,000 m/t

$65.00

Steady

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltic Dry Index

1919

Up 190

 

Baltic Capesize Index

2839

Up 287

 

Baltic Panamax Index

1916

Up 203

 

Baltic Supramax Index

1394

Up 122

 

Baltic Handisize Index

722

Up 19

 

 

 

 

 

Global Container Index - Freightos

2498

Down 154

 

   

 

 

 

 

 

All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise.

(NOLA is New Orleans, Louisiana, USA.)

FOB port or location specified. Prices in US$, in metric tons:

 

ALL PRICES ARE FOR April 2024/June 2024

 

   Wheat, USA Soft Red Winter, US Gulf

USD 221<<228 July   

 

   Wheat, USA Hard Red Winter 11 protein, US Gulf

USD 250<<257 July      

 

   Wheat, Ukraine 11.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 200>>195 July

 

   Wheat, Russia 12.5 pro, 30,000+ m/t

USD 210>>205 July 

 

   Wheat, Romania 12.5 pro

USD 215<<220 July   

 

   Wheat, Superior, France, Rouen

USD 218/221 Spot      

 

   Wheat, milling, 12.0%, Argentina, Upriver

 USD 240<<245 July     

 

   Wheat, feed, Black Sea

USD 180/190      

 

 

 

 

   Barley, France, Rouen port

USD 210/215

 

   Barley, feed, Argentina, upriver

USD 205/210

 

   Barley, feed, Black Sea, 30,000+

USD 180/185

 

   Barley, feed, Australia

USD 240/245

 

 

 

 

   Corn, 2YC FOB NOLA USA

USD 190<<195 July 

 

   Corn, 3YC FOB USA Pacific northwest

 USD 215<<220 July  

 

   Corn, FOB Argentina port, upriver

USD 195>>190 July  

 

   Corn, FOB Brazil port

USD 205>>195 July 

 

   Corn, FOB France – Atlantic

USD 216<<220 July

 

   Corn, FOB Romania

USD 190<<195 July

 

   Corn, FOB Russia

USD 175<<180 July

 

   Corn, FOB Ukraine, 30,000+ m/t

USD 175<<180 July

 

   Sorghum, FOB Argentina port

USD 265/275

 

   Sorghum, FOB Texas

USD 248<<252 July

 

 

 

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB NOLA

USD 405>>400 July  

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, USA, Rotterdam

USD 435>>430 July  

 

   Soymeal, 47% pro, FOB Argentina

USD 390>>385 July     

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, Brazil, Rotterdam – spot

USD 425/430

 

   Soymeal, 48% protein, FOB Brazil

 USD 380<<385 July 

 

 

 

 

   Soybeans, FOB NOLA

USD 445<<450 July

 

   Soybeans, Argentina, FOB

USD 425<<435 July

 

   Soybeans, Brazil, FOB

USD 430>>440 July

 

   Soybeans, Black Sea

USD 425<<430 July

 

 

 

 

   Corn Gluten Meal, USA FOB NOLA

USD 540/550

 

   Corn Gluten Feed, USA FOB NOLA

USD 190/200

 

   DDGS corn, 35 profat, USA FOB NOLA

USD 200/210 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES: PERUVIAN “INDICATION” FISHMEAL PRICES:

 

All the major fishmeal people were in Miami this week for the IFFO meeting with the result that there were no weekly industry reports issued ---- there will be lots more info next week.

 

Perhaps in anticipation of good fishing in Peru, the price of fishmeal in Europe weakened by about USD 20 m/t this week.

 

The first week of fishing in the North/Central region in Peru looked quite good with the first three days of fishing showing 140,000 m/t of catch which will yield just over 31,000 m/t of fishmeal and 3,500 m/t of fishoil.

 

European fishmeal prices – FOB North German port.

 

Type

Protein %

Price per

m/t USD

Standard Herring

64% protein

1,710

Danish standard fishmeal

71% protein

1,880

Peru fishmeal

65% protein

1,770

Chile fishmeal

66% protein

1,820

Iceland fishmeal

71% protein

1,850

 

 

ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE IN CONTAINER, ON VESSEL, AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS

Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal

 

    Specification

Price per m/t FOB Vessel Peru port

Price per m/t

Chile port

 

 

 

   65% protein standard steam

1550/1570

 

   67% protein 150 TVN

1620/1640

 

   67% protein 120 TVN

1700/1720

1720/1740

   67% protein 1000 hist, 120 TVN

1800/1820

1850/1870

   68% protein 500 hist, 100 TVN

1900/1920

1930/1950

 

 

 

   Fish oil, crude bulk

No prices

5,000

   Fish oil, crude drums

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, flexi tank

No prices

No prices

   Fish oil, Omega 3: 28%EPA/DHA

12,000+

No prices

 

INFORMATION:  gtee = guarantee, TVN = total volatile nitrogen, hist = histamine

 

The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be dependable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy. All references to prices are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

 

Copyright © 2024 Wayne S. Bacon